Beyond the wedge

Same data, different jobs

We are not a lending company, a fraud company, or a government vendor. We build one computation — a test of whether a claimed identity is coherent with a real human life — and credit origination is only where it deploys first.

The thesis

One computation, read from both ends

Kenshiki tests whether a claimed identity is statistically coherent with a real human life — across address history, carrier signals, device tenure, and stated facts — and delivers the result as a signed, replayable evidence packet rather than an unexplainable score. Credit origination is where we deploy it first, because that is where the regulatory demand for proof is sharpest today. But the computation does not know it is doing credit.

A real life leaves one coherent evidence trail. Read from one end, that trail rejects the fabricated applicant. Read from the other, it admits the genuine one that legacy systems wrongly refuse — the thin-file borrower, the night-shift worker, the new arrival. Every market below is the same trail, read for a different claim.

Same data, different jobs: one evidence layer rejects the fabricated life and protects the real one from wrongful denial.

The template

Five tests before any market gets a slide

Expansion without discipline is how companies fragment. Every market we consider is scored against the same five tests before it gets a slide, a line of code, or a sales call. A market that passes all five gets the same machine pointed at a different claim. A market that fails one gets a smaller bet — and below, we say which test it fails.

Test one

A life-process claim

The contested fact must be something only a lived life produces — residency, presence, occupancy, personhood. Attributes can be fabricated; a coherent life process across independent channels cannot be cheaply faked.

Test two

Paired error costs

The buyer must bleed twice: once for the fraud they admit, and once for the real person they wrongly refuse. If only fraud matters, we are one vendor among forty. When both errors carry cost, the two-jobs architecture is the entire answer.

Test three

An examiner who demands proof

Somewhere behind the buyer stands an examiner, auditor, regulator, or inspector general who will ask the institution to show its work. Detection has a market; proof has a mandate.

Test four

Computation goes to the data

The decisive signals must already sit with a party who can lawfully compute on them — a carrier, a bureau, an agency, a consortium. Raw data never moves; only proof crosses the boundary. If a market requires hoarding sensitive data in a new silo, it fails this test by design.

Test five

Industrial fraud

The adversary mints identities in batches. One fabricated life is expensive to detect; a thousand mutually consistent fabricated lives are nearly impossible to construct — collisions, impossible households, and statistical fingerprints multiply. Ring-level testing is where our advantage compounds.

The map

The markets, at a glance

Each row is the same evidence trail, read for a different claim. Problem-size figures are third-party estimates, sourced in each market section below.

Markets scored against the five-test template
Market The claim we verify U.S. problem size (annual unless noted) Status
Credit & lending The applicant is a real person with a real history ~$35B estimated synthetic-identity losses (2023) Now — the wedge
Deposit accounts & onboarding The account belongs to a life, not a mule ring ~$127B bank fraud across payments, checks, and cards Next
Property & casualty insurance The risk lives where the policy says it lives $45B claims fraud; $29B auto premium leakage Next
Telecom subscriptions The subscriber is real before the handset ships ~$10B identity-driven subscription fraud (global) Next
Public benefits & program integrity The claimant exists, resides, and qualifies $162B reported improper payments (FY2024) Horizon
Workforce & remote hiring The employee is who the badge says, where the W-2 says Sanctions-scale: 309 companies infiltrated in one DOJ case Horizon

Status legend — Now: deployed wedge. Next: architecture-ready, active design work. Horizon: validated fit, longer procurement or partnership arc. Statuses describe our roadmap discipline, not customer relationships.

Now — the wedge

Credit & lending

This is where we live today, because this is where the two errors are both priced and both examined. Estimated U.S. synthetic-identity fraud losses crossed $35 billion in 2023, lender exposure on cards, auto, retail, and personal loans sits at an all-time high, and the average charge-off per minted identity runs near $13,000. Meanwhile the same legacy stack that admits the synthetic quietly refuses the genuine thin file — the 24-year-old, the recent arrival, the cash-economy worker whose life is real but whose bureau file is short.

Same data, different jobs: the tail of a life’s evidence curve rejects the fabricated file; the onset of that curve admits the real newcomer. One computation, both errors, one packet an examiner can replay.

$35 billion

Estimated U.S. synthetic-identity fraud losses in 2023 — an industry estimate from FiVerity, reported by the Boston Fed, not a measured loss ledger. Boston Fed.

$3.3 billion

U.S. lender exposure to synthetic identities across cards, auto, retail, and personal loans at year-end 2024 — an all-time high. TransUnion.

~$13,000

Average charge-off per synthetic identity once the minted file finally busts out. Equifax.

Next

Deposit accounts & onboarding

A deposit account is a claim that a life stands behind it. Mule networks — synthetic and rented identities opened in batches to move scam proceeds and stolen-check money — are the purest ring problem in finance. Under the Customer Identification Program rules, institutions must form and document a reasonable belief that they know who their customer is; the evidence packet is that documentation, natively. For credit unions there is a second claim hiding in plain sight: field-of-membership eligibility is a residency assertion regulators expect to be verified.

Same data, different jobs: the ring of accounts that share an impossible household is refused; the unbanked household opening its first account is welcomed with evidence instead of suspicion.

$127 billion

Estimated U.S. bank fraud across payments, checks, and cards. Nasdaq Verafin.

~$21 billion

Check fraud losses across the Americas in 2023, much of it moved through accounts opened on fabricated or rented identities. Verafin / FinCEN.

Next

Property & casualty insurance

In auto rate evasion, the lie is spatial — which makes it our cleanest single fit. Garaging misrepresentation claims the car sleeps in a cheap-premium ZIP while the policyholder’s life says otherwise. And the examiner demand just arrived: Colorado’s external-data regime and the NAIC’s model AI bulletin now require carriers to demonstrate that external data and algorithms treat policyholders fairly — a proof mandate with no incumbent answer. One honest mark against this market: garaging is mostly individual misrepresentation rather than industrial rings, so the fifth test scores partial.

Same data, different jobs: the misstated garage is corrected; the night-shift nurse driving at 3 a.m. is proven fairly priced, not flagged as anomalous.

$29 billion

Annual auto premium leakage — about 14% of personal auto premium. Verisk.

>10%

Of auto policies carry verifiable garaging defects, worth roughly $3 billion a year on their own. Verisk.

$45 billion

Annual U.S. property & casualty claims fraud, per the Coalition Against Insurance Fraud’s line-of-business breakdown. InsuranceNewsNet.

Next

Telecom subscriptions

Carriers finance a $1,200 handset for every subscriber they approve — a credit decision wearing a phone plan. The deployment topology here is the most frictionless we have: the decisive evidence is the carrier’s own network exhaust, so the computation runs where the data already lives and nothing sensitive moves at all. The honest partial: telecom buyers answer to their own P&L more than to a bank-style examiner, so the proof mandate is softer — the value case leads with loss, not compliance.

Same data, different jobs: the synthetic subscriber is stopped before the device ships; the legitimate prepaid customer with three years of coherent history graduates to postpaid on evidence instead of a bureau file they never had.

~$10 billion

Global identity-driven subscription fraud — $5.3 billion using true or stolen identities plus $4.9 billion in first-party fraud with no intent to pay. CFCA, via TNS.

$41.8 billion

Total global telecom fraud in 2025, up from an estimated $39 billion in 2023. CFCA.

Horizon

Public benefits & program integrity

This is the longest arc and the deepest fit. Pandemic unemployment insurance proved the failure mode at national scale. But the morally load-bearing half is the other job: the same era proved that blunt identity gates wrongfully lock out exactly the people benefits exist for. A system that abstains and escalates when evidence is thin — rather than silently rejecting — is the difference between program integrity and program cruelty.

Same data, different jobs: the interstate fraud ring is stopped; the eligible claimant with a disrupted paper trail is paid, with the agency holding replayable proof of both decisions.

$162 billion

Reported federal improper payments in FY2024 alone — $2.8 trillion cumulatively since 2003. GAO.

$233–521 billion

Estimated annual federal fraud losses across programs. GAO.

$100–135 billion

Estimated pandemic unemployment-insurance fraud — 11–15% of everything paid. GAO.

Horizon

Workforce & remote hiring

The newest claim type, and the starkest: is the person on payroll the person — and the place — they say they are? U.S. prosecutors have documented North Korean IT workers, operating through stolen identities and domestic laptop farms, employed across hundreds of American companies — 309 in a single case, generating $17 million for a sanctioned regime — with the broader scheme estimated by the Department of Justice to channel hundreds of millions of dollars a year to weapons programs.

A claimed Ohio residence against an actual pattern of life is our test, verbatim; sanctions exposure supplies the examiner. The honest partial: employer-side data alone is thinner than carrier or bureau channels, so this market matures as consortium and carrier partnerships do. The other job matters here too — clearing the genuine remote hire over a bounded historical window, under a documented purpose, instead of subjecting every employee to standing surveillance.

Same data, different jobs: the laptop farm is exposed by what a real life would have left behind; the legitimate remote worker is cleared without a camera ever pointing at them.

The boundary

What we will not build

The template has a sixth test we apply silently and absolutely: the deployment boundary’s social contract. Our architecture verifies claims a person has made — on an application, a policy, a payroll record — over a bounded historical window, under a documented legal basis, with abstention as a first-class outcome. It does not follow people.

So we do not build individual tracking or real-time surveillance products, tools for immigration enforcement targeting, election or protest policing, or social scoring of any kind — for any customer, at any price. These refusals are not caution; they are what makes the rest of the map trustworthy.

An evidence layer that would testify to anything is not evidence.

Caveats

Reading the numbers honestly

The figures on this page are third-party estimates of annual problem size — the loss pools our buyers carry — not Kenshiki forecasts and not addressable software spend, which is a fraction of any loss pool. Sources differ in scope, geography, and method; we cite each beside the number it backs and welcome corrections. Figures last verified June 2026.